Thursday, May 7, 2026

The US is not winning the war in Iran.

 Trump says it’s ‘treasonous’ to say US not winning war in Iran

Donald Trump told a Florida crowd that it is “treasonous” to say the US is not winning the war in Iran.

 The US president was speaking at The Villages in Florida, the world’s largest retirement community, when he made the remark.

Trump came to tout supposedly fulfilling his 2024 campaign promise to remove taxes on Social Security.

It came after the president told Congress that the war in Iran had already ended, despite his earlier issuing a fresh threat to Tehran.

Not any more than the US won Vietnam.

Seriously, when missiles are being dropped and lives are being lost, who “won” becomes very secondary compared to what was achieved and what got lost getting there. 

Storming the beaches of Normandy, ending the Nazi regime, saving the lives of millions in interment camps, that’s a worthy thing to call a win. Iran is no such win, we were there because … I’m still trying to figure it out, nukes was it the nukes we already had a diplomatic solution to under Obama, or are we using the “bringing freedom and democracy” excuse again?

You're really underselling it. This was the most humiliating defeat in US history.

Iran wrecked every US base in the region. That's never happened to America before. American soldiers were told to run away from the bases and hide in hotels!

The Irania systematically destroyed billions of dollars in critical radar, satelites, air defenses, etc. Multiple THAAD systems, America's top air defense with only 7 total deployed in the field, were destroyed. The US has to scramble to take a THAAD system back from South Korea.

Meanwhile, the US Navy was terrified to get anywhere near Iran's shores. The USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier ran away from a distance of around 350km to over 1100km!

And the US was so afraid of sending aircraft into Iranian airspace that they ended up using a third of their long range missiles so they could launch strikes from outside Iran. Those missiles will take many years to rebuild and restock.

Meanwhile, the Iranians critical assets were all safe inside their missile cities, which are bunkers built 500 meters under granite mountains, designed to withstand nuclear blasts. That's where Iran keeps all their missiles, drones, launchers, missile and drone production, and intelligence hubs.

After over a month, the US didn't even manage to disable a single one of Iran's dozens of missile cities spread out across their 1.6 million sq km of mountainous terrain.

So what did the US destroy? Well, in addition to bombing schools, universities, police stations, civilian factories, etc. the US destroyed a lot of empty warehouses that had been evacuated prior to the war and decoys!

On the weekend before the war, the US tried to fly an F-15 deeper into Iran and it got shot down... Then two A-10s got shot down. Then a KC-135 refueler and and F-16 made emergency landings. Then two black hawk helicopters got shot up and destroyed. Then two C-130s and two little birds got stuck and destroyed. About HALF A BILLION dollars worth of aircraft gone in 48 hours.

And then of course there's the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has claimed permanent control over the Strait and there is nothing the US can do about it. So far, Iran has used that leverage to cause extraordinary damage to the economies of the US and its allies around the world. But if Hormuz isn't opened ASAP, then the global economy will plunge into a severe economic depression.

It's not just oil that comes through Hormuz, it's a third of the world's gas, fertilizer, aluminum, tungsten, helium, and sulfur. Global supply chains are going to start breaking down. The effects of this disruption are delayed but they're really starting to feel it in East Asia now.

The only way out of this mess is for the US to make major concessions to Iran including lifting all sanctions, unfreezing all stolen assets, paying reparations and accepting Iranian control of Hormuz, where they will start charging tolls.

If the US decides to escalate, Iran will go right up the escalation ladder as well. The red sea will be cut off, the Gulf states will be destroyed, oil and gas infrastructure across the region will be destroyed, and the collapse of the global economy will be guaranteed.

There is no parallel for this in American history. It is easily the worse defeat the US has ever suffered.

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